Pre-tourney Rankings
UNC Greensboro
Southern
2012-13
Overall
Predictive Rating-8.2#289
Expected Predictive Rating-12.1#323
Pace79.1#10
Improvement-0.6#194

Offense
Total Offense-3.9#272
Improvement-3.3#306

Defense
Total Defense-4.4#291
Improvement+2.7#44
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2012 220   @ High Point L 73-81 22%     0 - 1 -8.1 -8.3 +1.2
  Nov 16, 2012 158   @ East Carolina L 73-76 13%     0 - 2 +0.8 +0.0 +0.7
  Nov 19, 2012 160   Virginia Tech L 87-96 30%     0 - 3 -11.8 -2.0 -8.6
  Nov 25, 2012 98   Rutgers L 80-87 18%     0 - 4 -5.5 -0.8 -4.0
  Nov 28, 2012 231   N.C. A&T L 79-90 46%     0 - 5 -18.2 -6.8 -9.4
  Dec 01, 2012 331   The Citadel W 84-54 79%     1 - 5 1 - 0 +13.3 +1.3 +13.2
  Dec 16, 2012 182   @ James Madison L 73-85 16%     1 - 6 -9.7 -2.1 -6.8
  Dec 19, 2012 285   @ UNC Wilmington L 73-87 36%     1 - 7 -18.7 -7.6 -10.2
  Dec 22, 2012 127   Wake Forest L 70-84 24%     1 - 8 -14.7 -8.5 -4.8
  Dec 31, 2012 29   @ North Carolina St. L 68-89 2%     1 - 9 -5.6 -0.5 -5.1
  Jan 05, 2013 70   @ Davidson L 53-85 5%     1 - 10 1 - 1 -21.6 -17.6 -4.1
  Jan 12, 2013 256   @ Western Carolina L 59-62 28%     1 - 11 1 - 2 -5.2 -16.3 +11.1
  Jan 14, 2013 259   @ Appalachian St. L 70-83 29%     1 - 12 1 - 3 -15.5 -6.7 -8.4
  Jan 16, 2013 249   Wofford W 71-52 51%     2 - 12 2 - 3 +10.6 +4.1 +7.4
  Jan 20, 2013 340   Furman L 61-69 82%     2 - 13 2 - 4 -26.1 -23.7 -2.1
  Jan 24, 2013 287   Samford W 66-64 62%     3 - 13 3 - 4 -9.3 -14.4 +5.0
  Jan 27, 2013 309   Chattanooga W 77-69 67%     4 - 13 4 - 4 -4.9 -4.2 -0.7
  Jan 31, 2013 208   Elon L 66-72 40%     4 - 14 4 - 5 -11.6 -19.9 +9.3
  Feb 02, 2013 157   @ College of Charleston L 59-81 13%     4 - 15 4 - 6 -18.2 -11.5 -6.4
  Feb 07, 2013 340   @ Furman W 88-65 63%     5 - 15 5 - 6 +11.4 +4.5 +5.8
  Feb 09, 2013 249   @ Wofford L 50-59 27%     5 - 16 5 - 7 -10.9 -16.6 +5.6
  Feb 14, 2013 256   Western Carolina L 68-70 52%     5 - 17 5 - 8 -10.7 -10.9 +0.2
  Feb 17, 2013 259   Appalachian St. L 68-76 53%     5 - 18 5 - 9 -17.0 -9.6 -7.4
  Feb 21, 2013 309   @ Chattanooga W 94-68 43%     6 - 18 6 - 9 +19.6 +12.7 +5.9
  Feb 23, 2013 287   @ Samford L 71-75 37%     6 - 19 6 - 10 -8.8 -3.5 -5.4
  Feb 27, 2013 282   Georgia Southern L 60-66 59%     6 - 20 6 - 11 -16.6 -18.7 +2.2
  Mar 02, 2013 208   @ Elon L 66-80 19%     6 - 21 6 - 12 -13.1 -3.8 -9.9
  Mar 08, 2013 309   Chattanooga W 87-81 55%     7 - 21 -3.6 +5.5 -9.3
  Mar 09, 2013 208   Elon L 61-68 29%     7 - 22 -9.4 -13.1 +3.8
Projected Record 7.0 - 22.0 6.0 - 12.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 100.0 100.0 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12 100.0% 100.0
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%